Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.003287 0.003447 0.003610 0.003789 0.003981 0.004180 0.004402
2025-06-08 0.002987 0.003222 0.003473 0.003759 0.004078 0.004425 0.004831
2025-06-15 0.002772 0.003047 0.003347 0.003699 0.004103 0.004556 0.005105
2025-06-22 0.002611 0.002912 0.003247 0.003649 0.004122 0.004665 0.005342
2025-06-29 0.002508 0.002833 0.003200 0.003651 0.004192 0.004828 0.005641
2025-07-06 0.002358 0.002690 0.003070 0.003544 0.004123 0.004815 0.005720
2025-07-13 0.002285 0.002632 0.003036 0.003547 0.004182 0.004956 0.005990
2025-07-20 0.002244 0.002611 0.003042 0.003596 0.004297 0.005169 0.006358
2025-07-27 0.002167 0.002541 0.002986 0.003564 0.004307 0.005245 0.006549
2025-08-03 0.002102 0.002482 0.002940 0.003542 0.004325 0.005330 0.006753
2025-08-10 0.002039 0.002425 0.002893 0.003516 0.004336 0.005405 0.006943
2025-08-17 0.002018 0.002417 0.002908 0.003568 0.004451 0.005620 0.007337
2025-08-24 0.001967 0.002372 0.002874 0.003557 0.004481 0.005722 0.007578
2025-08-31 0.001913 0.002320 0.002830 0.003529 0.004487 0.005791 0.007774
2025-09-07 0.001850 0.002256 0.002767 0.003473 0.004452 0.005801 0.007881
2025-09-14 0.001795 0.002199 0.002712 0.003427 0.004428 0.005822 0.008005
2025-09-21 0.001762 0.002171 0.002693 0.003429 0.004470 0.005940 0.008280
2025-09-28 0.001692 0.002091 0.002604 0.003331 0.004366 0.005841 0.008213
2025-10-05 0.001664 0.002066 0.002588 0.003334 0.004406 0.005954 0.008483
2025-10-12 0.001653 0.002065 0.002603 0.003379 0.004509 0.006164 0.008918
2025-10-19 0.001615 0.002026 0.002566 0.003350 0.004502 0.006205 0.009080
2025-10-26 0.001583 0.001993 0.002536 0.003329 0.004505 0.006263 0.009272
2025-11-02 0.001550 0.001959 0.002504 0.003305 0.004503 0.006312 0.009449